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Overview

The terminal implements five independent pattern detectors. Each detector runs in parallel every 30 seconds. Signals from multiple patterns can fire in the same cycle, and a maximum of 2 signals per pattern are surfaced per cycle to avoid notification flooding.
All detectors only surface markets where acceptingOrders=true — meaning live order-book activity is confirmed before any signal fires.

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Pattern 1 — Intersection

Strongest Signal Monitors the most recently active followed wallets for trades made within the last 2 hours. When 2 or more wallets appear in the same market, an intersection is recorded. The most commonly chosen outcome across those wallets is surfaced as the signal direction. Why it works: When multiple independent informed traders simultaneously enter the same market and side, it’s a reliable indicator of shared non-public information or strong conviction. 
Trigger condition:
  followed_wallets_in_market >= 2
  within last 2 hours
This pattern requires at least 2 followed wallets. Add 5–10 known whale addresses for best results.

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Pattern 2 — Pre-News Trading

Detects markets experiencing abnormally high short-term volume relative to lifetime volume — a reliable indicator of information asymmetry prior to a news event. The detector fetches 30 active markets ordered by 24h volume and filters for those where: 
v24h / v_total >= 10%
Why it works: A sudden spike in 24h volume as a fraction of total lifetime volume suggests that informed traders are positioning ahead of an expected announcement.

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Pattern 3 — Quick Flip

Targets markets where the price is near 50% probability — specifically in the 38–62% range. 
Trigger condition:
  Yes price between 38¢ and 62¢
These markets have high liquidity, tight spreads, and are well-suited for short-duration trades where a small information edge produces outsized returns. Why it works: Binary outcomes priced at near-50% are highly sensitive to new information. A small directional edge produces a much better risk/reward ratio than at extreme prices.

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Pattern 4 — Contrarian Plays

Identifies low-probability outcomes (5–22%) that remain open and liquid. 
Trigger condition:
  Yes price between 5¢ and 22¢
  lifetime volume >= $10,000
The appeal is asymmetric upside: a 10¢ outcome pays $10 if resolved Yes. The $10k volume filter excludes illiquid long-shots. Why it works: Thinly-covered markets with meaningful liquidity sometimes misprice tail events. The $10k liquidity floor ensures there’s real money on both sides.
Contrarian plays carry higher risk by design. Use conservative sizing or the Low risk level for this pattern.

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Pattern 5 — Position Growth (Wallet Follow)

Scans the current open positions of all followed wallets. Any open position worth ≥ $500 in an actively tradeable market generates a signal. 
Trigger condition:
  followed_wallet.open_position >= $500
  market.acceptingOrders = true
Why it works: This pattern captures steady accumulation that does not produce short-term volume spikes detectable by the other patterns. Large, quietly held positions often precede significant market moves.

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Signal Deduplication

Signals will not re-fire for the same market/pattern combination within 24 hours. This is managed via an in-memory seen_trades dictionary with a 24-hour TTL.